EU · Germany

C3S2_610 Development of an event-linked counterfactual diagnostic evidence layer based on ECMWF forecast and reanalysis information in support of the C3S Operational Attribution Office

Buying agency
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
Notice type
cn-standard
Published
2026-07-27
Closes
2026-10-01
Location
Germany

Description

The aim of this ITT is to develop an event-linked counterfactual evidence layer to support the C3S Operational Attribution Office. Using ECMWF forecasts and reanalysis products, it will derive event-specific counterfactual diagnostics that provide additional evidence on how the intensity, probability or other characteristics of observed extreme events may have differed in the absence of human-induced climate change. ECMWF intends to award a single Framework Agreement, with a maximum duration of 18 months, which shall be implemented via a single multi-annual Service Contract, expected to commence at the beginning of Q1 2027.

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C3S2_610 Development of an event-linked counterfactual diagnostic evidence layer based on ECMWF forecast and reanalysis information in support of the C3S Operational Attribution Office — European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) tender, Germany